Cross-border commercial due diligence in Africa

If you are going to invest in a company with international expansion plans, you want to make sure that their product or service has good chances of being successful in the countries where you have ambitions.

This of course is also important for Africa. Only with the right knowledge about demand, competition and regulations it is wise to invest in market entry.
Business people with handshake

Business opportunities in Africa

Africa, often regarded as the world’s emerging market powerhouse, offers vast opportunities for businesses across industries. With a rapidly growing population, diverse economies, and increasing urbanization, the continent presents a dynamic landscape for commercial success. However, understanding the unique economic, cultural, and regulatory factors across African countries is essential for any business looking to expand into the region.

Key Market Numbers

Africa’s market is diverse, with a mix of developed economies and emerging markets. Understanding the economic and demographic landscape is crucial for success in the region.

  • Population: Approximately 1.5 billion people (2023), making Africa the second-most populous continent, with countries like Nigeria, Ethiopia, and Egypt leading in population size.
  • GDP per capita: Varies significantly. North African countries like Egypt and Morocco have GDPs per capita ranging from $4,000 to $5,000 USD, while sub-Saharan countries like Nigeria, Kenya, and South Africa tend to have lower GDPs per capita, often under $5,000 USD.
  • Urbanization: Over 40% of Africa’s population lives in urban areas, and urbanization is rapidly increasing, particularly in countries like Nigeria, Kenya, and South Africa. Cities such as Lagos, Nairobi, and Johannesburg are major economic hubs.
  • Economic Structure: Africa’s economies are diverse. While oil and gas are dominant in countries like Nigeria, Angola, and Libya, others like South Africa and Kenya are more reliant on manufacturing and services. Agriculture remains a key sector, especially in countries like Ethiopia and Uganda.
  • Ageing Population: Africa has a relatively young population, with a median age of around 19 years. This demographic trend creates opportunities in sectors such as education, technology, and consumer goods targeting younger consumers.

Language and Documentation

Africa’s linguistic diversity is one of the continent’s most distinct characteristics. Businesses must consider this diversity when planning their market entry.

  • Official Languages: Africa is home to thousands of languages. However, key languages for business include Arabic (in North Africa), French (widely spoken across West and Central Africa), English (common in East and Southern Africa), and Portuguese (in Angola, Mozambique, and Guinea-Bissau).
  • Language Considerations: For non-English-speaking countries, translating marketing materials, product packaging, and documentation into local languages is essential. In many countries, English and French are used in business and government, but localization is still important to engage consumers effectively.
  • Packaging and Documentation: Different African countries have specific regulatory requirements for product labeling, especially for food, healthcare, and cosmetics. Packaging must often include information in both the official language(s) and must adhere to local safety standards. For example, some countries have regulations on expiry dates, ingredient listings, and safety warnings.

Consumer and B2B Buying Behavior

Consumer and B2B behaviors in Africa are influenced by various factors, including culture, economic conditions, and technological development.

  • Consumer Behavior: African consumers are price-sensitive but are increasingly interested in quality, brand reputation, and convenience. There is growing demand for tech products, consumer goods, and services that improve lifestyles. E-commerce is growing rapidly, with more than 30% of internet users in Africa shopping online (2023), particularly in countries like South Africa, Nigeria, and Kenya.
  • B2B Buying Behavior: In B2B markets, relationships and trust are crucial. Networking and word-of-mouth recommendations play a significant role in business transactions. Companies entering Africa need to invest in building strong, local partnerships to establish credibility. Local market knowledge and understanding of regional business practices are vital to success.
  • Online Presence: E-commerce is expanding across Africa, with platforms like Jumia, Takealot, and Konga leading the way. In addition to a strong digital strategy, a well-localized website, customer service, and mobile-friendly platform are crucial to success in the region.

Market Challenges and Opportunities

While Africa presents numerous business opportunities, there are significant challenges that need to be addressed to succeed in the region.

  • Products/Services that May Struggle: Products or services that fail to address local needs, economic conditions, or cultural preferences may struggle in Africa. For example, luxury goods or high-end consumer products may not perform well in countries with low average incomes, while products that are not adapted to local climate conditions may also face difficulties.
  • Test Market Potential: Countries like South Africa, Kenya, and Nigeria are often seen as ideal test markets for businesses looking to enter Africa. These countries have diverse, urban populations, improving infrastructure, and growing middle classes. They are also hubs for regional trade and commerce, providing a platform to test new products and services before expanding into other African markets.
  • Regulatory Environment: Regulatory requirements can vary significantly by country. In many parts of Africa, the business environment is challenging due to issues such as bureaucracy, corruption, and inconsistent enforcement of laws. Companies must understand local regulations related to taxes, labor laws, customs, and trade restrictions. Partnering with local firms or consulting with local experts can help navigate these complexities.

Comparing performance in existing markets

If the company the we are assessing already has sales in different countries, you can determine distributor performance or sales staff performance. 

One do this by correcting the actual turnover with data about:

  • the buying power in the market;
  • the geographical reach of the distributor or sales team;
  • the competition intensity;
  • the number of years active in the market.

Combining the data of the various countries over time leads to a growth curve where overperformers and underperformers can be easily identified.

You can then do selective interviews what causes any underperformance, and you can take corrective measures.

A curve like this also helps to estimate the potential in a new market. 

Turnover growth curve
Share of wallet data comparison

Before you focus only on Africa

Please note that there are many countries in the world and the biggest ones or the ones nearby are not automatically the best choice. It all depends of the market growth, the competition and the barriers for entry. 

Therefore we would advise you to make a short-list of at least three, but preferably five potential new markets and compare them against the same criteria.